讲座题目：Regional trade agreement burdens global carbon emissions mitigation

主讲人：田开兰

讲座时间：2022年3月11日（ 星期五）12:15-13:30

讲座地点：中关村教学楼S406（线下）；腾讯会议ID：958 792 069（线上）

内容摘要：Regional trade agreements (RTAs) have been widely adopted to facilitate international trade and cross-border investment and promote economic development. However, ex ante measurements of the environmental effects of RTAs to date have not been well conducted. Here, we estimate the CO2 emissions burdens of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) after evaluating its economic effects. We find that trade among RCEP member countries will increase significantly and economic output will expand with the reduction of regional tariffs. However, the results show that complete tariff elimination among RCEP members would increase the yearly global CO2 emissions from fuel combustion by about 3.1%, doubling the annual average growth rate of global CO2 emissions in the last decade. The emissions in some developing members will surge. In the longer run, the burdens can be lessened to some extent by the technological spillover effects of deeper trade liberalization. We stress that technological advancement and more effective climate policies are urgently required to avoid undermining international efforts to reduce global emissions.

主讲人简介：田开兰，获得中国科学院大学管理学博士学位、荷兰格罗宁根大学经济学博士学位。主要研究领域包括全球价值链与产业升级、贸易与环境、投入产出技术等，出版英文专著1本，在国内国际重要学术期刊发表论文20余篇，包括Nature Communications、Economic Systems Research、Energy Economics、World Economy、Applied Energy和《管理科学学报》等。曾荣获中国科学院系统科学研究所关肇直青年研究奖。主持国家自然科学基金项目、国家统计局重点项目和中国科协项目等课题，作为核心成员参与国家社科基金重大项目、商务部重大项目、中国科学院重大项目等多项课题。